China warns super El Nino may rival record 1997-98 event 14.07.2026

China's National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center issued a warning on July 10, 2026, that a super El Nino event is expected to develop this autumn and winter, potentially surpassing the record-breaking 1997-1998 event. The assessment is based on comprehensive analysis of ocean monitoring data, atmospheric circulation patterns, and forecasts from multiple models. The current El Nino event, which began with warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific off Peru this spring, has shown typical warming characteristics that have intensified and expanded westward.

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