Guerre en Ukraine : Malgré des « pertes humaines effroyables » depuis quatre ans, Kiev comme Moscou peuvent encore tenir

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Guerre en Ukraine : Malgré des « pertes humaines effroyables » depuis quatre ans, Kiev comme Moscou peuvent encore tenir 23.02.2026

20 minutes

Four years after Russia's full-scale invasion on February 24, 2022, the war in Ukraine shows no immediate end, with experts suggesting both armies could hold their ground for at least two more years. Ukraine, bolstered by European support including a €90 billion loan, is expected to continue its defensive fight until 2027 or beyond, while Russia, aided by China for drones and missiles, appears to have similar long-term strategic thinking. Despite material capabilities, both sides face severe human losses, with Ukraine estimating 100,000-140,000 military deaths and 500,000-600,000 wounded or missing by December 2025, and Russia facing up to 1.2 million military casualties. Diplomatic impasses persist due to Russia's territorial gains since 2014 and Ukraine's demand for security guarantees, leading to continued intense fighting on the front lines.

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