Iran faces a new energy imbalance, but its options are limited 03.06.2026

Iran is confronting a significant energy imbalance as summer demand, driven by air conditioning, exacerbates existing supply constraints. Despite possessing vast oil and gas reserves, the country faces fuel import necessities due to refinery output lagging behind consumption, which has increased due to war-related strikes impacting production capacity from 115 million to 110 million liters daily, while demand has risen to 140 million liters. Decades of subsidized energy prices, kept artificially low for households and offices, have created a dependency, and recent government efforts to adjust tariffs or implement tiered pricing systems have been met with caution due to the risk of social unrest, as evidenced by the 2019 gasoline price protests. Economic challenges like corruption, mismanagement, sanctions, and inflation have eroded the benefits of these subsidies, leaving the government with limited options to address the growing deficit without potentially triggering public backlash.




















