Ahead of the 2026 state election in Baden-Württemberg, current polls indicate the AfD party is poised to significantly improve its performance compared to the 2021 election, where it secured only a single-digit percentage and the smallest parliamentary faction with 17 seats. While a complete electoral triumph for the AfD is not currently projected, recent surveys suggest the party is consolidating ground, moving from 15 percent in December 2024 to approximately 20 percent in the latest polls conducted between January 14-27, 2026. These projections, from institutes like Infratest dimap and INSA, anticipate that the CDU and the Greens will likely finish ahead of the AfD. The article notes that these polls, with a statistical margin of error of two to three percentage points, are expected to reflect the election outcome with considerable accuracy, as demonstrated in past German elections.