The AfD is aiming for a significant electoral breakthrough in the upcoming Rheinland-Pfalz state election on March 22nd, targeting an outcome of 20 percent plus X. Recent polls suggest this goal is achievable, potentially leading to a political upset. This would represent a substantial improvement from their 2021 performance, where they secured only 8.3 percent of the vote and became the fourth-strongest party. While Minister-President Alexander Schweitzer (SPD) cautions against overestimating AfD's strength before elections, citing national mood influences, the polls consistently indicate a clear upward trend for the party in Rheinland-Pfalz, though a direct victory remains unlikely as the CDU and SPD appear to be recovering.