Why the US-Iran truce may pause the war, but not end it 09.04.2026

A fragile US-Iran truce offers a temporary pause in hostilities, driven by divergent strategic objectives rather than shared goals. The United States seeks immediate stabilization of oil markets and a domestic diplomatic win, while Israel aims for the long-term dismantling of Iran's military and nuclear capabilities. Iran, conversely, prioritizes regime survival, domestic legitimacy, and sanctions relief, needing to project strength against perceived Western pressure. This fundamental misalignment means the ceasefire, while providing short-term de-escalation and breathing room for all parties, fails to address core disputes over Iran's missile program, nuclear activities, and proxy network, making its sustainability questionable and the current pause a countdown rather than a peace process.

















